As we review the biggest financial stories of the past year, many of the themes that characterized the markets in 2024 are still in play: artificial intelligence (and how long it will continue to power tech stocks’ price growth), inflation (and how tariffs will or won’t affect it), the Fed (and whether the US central bank will continue to allow interest rates to fall), and the economy (and whether US employment will manage to hold above recessionary levels).

As far as the big picture is concerned, equity markets, both in the US and internationally, turned in strong performances. The broad market, as measured by the S&P 500, advanced by just over 17%, while the DJIA grew by a bit more than 13%. The tech-heavy NASDAQ added nearly 21%, and the Russell 3000, which, at 98% of the equities market, includes many small-capitalization companies, ascended by about 16%. Internationally, foreign markets notched record highs, with London’s FTSE 100 index increasing 21.5% through the year’s last trading day and the Hang Seng almost 28% higher for the period (though ending the year about 5% off the peak reached in early October).

Early in the year, uncertainty around US trade policy (i.e., tariffs) and fears of an all-out trade war depressed equity markets. But by the beginning of Q2, traders appeared to shake off most of these fears as markets generally resumed their upward trend. Fixed-income markets also rewarded investors, though displaying a fair amount of volatility. As other central banks joined the Fed in easing interest rates, bond prices trended upward. For example, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond went from a yield of 4.595% at the beginning of the year to 4.138% on December 30, 2025, a change of nearly 1% (when bond yields fall, bond prices rise).

Looking ahead, it seems likely that market participants, both in equity and fixed income, will continue to closely monitor the Fed for indications about interest rates and expectations for the US economy. Any signs that flash recessionary signals will likely depress markets, but if the economy continues to exhibit growth (as it did in Q2 and Q3) and employment remains at reasonable levels, markets may have room for further expansion. On the other hand, geopolitical uncertainties may continue to fuel growth in precious metals and related stocks. Traders will also continue to watch AI-related spending for indications of slowing enthusiasm, which could result in less dominance by the tech sector and lead to investor rotation out of tech and into other sectors exhibiting higher potential for future growth.

No matter what happens, you can continue to depend on your Optima advisor to provide evidence-based guidance for your investing decisions and other important financial matters. We are here to help; please let us know how we can assist you.

Simplify to Amplify: Automate Your Finances in the New Year

As life seems to accelerate year after year, many of us are looking for ways to simplify and consolidate. One way you can simplify your financial life is by putting some of the most important processes on “autopilot.”

For example, you may wish to consider consolidating various banking and investment functions into a more centralized and automated format. Doing so can make it easier to keep an eye on your finances; rather than needing to consult several different statements or apps, you can have a single “dashboard” that allows you to exercise better oversight in less time. You may also be able to save on fees and even reduce the number of logins and passwords you need to remember!

But perhaps the greatest advantage of simplifying and consolidating your accounts is the ability to synchronize functions and management across all your accounts. For example, you may be able to direct a certain amount of income from dividends, interest, or pensions to be automatically deposited in a high-yield savings account for emergencies and other needs. You may also be able to organize account activity according to your main financial needs and priorities, such as automating required minimum distributions (RMDs) or pursuing tax-smart strategies like tax-loss harvesting or maximizing qualified dividends.

For more information on consolidating and automating your finances, get in touch with your Optima advisor.

View the full Q4 Quarterly Market Review slide deck here.